Rising interest rates up on gas prices and higher taxes make it even more difficult to provide a house and put the brakes on the nation is the hottest housing markets.
In recent findings, National Association of Realtors said Tuesday that sales of existing homes fell by 6% from January to May. The median price in May the house costs $ 230000, 6% last year.
“One thing, change my prognosis is the Federal Reserve,” said David Lereah., Chief economist of the NAR, said he now expected home sales to decline as well as 8% this year .
“The market is still awaiting several increases in interest rates by the Fed, and that some might harm our nation’s cooling housing markets. There are a handful of markets sensitive to rising interest rates,” he said .
The Fed meets Wednesday and Thursday and is likely to increase the interest rate at 17 Times in two years.
Back increases that have already struggling at home to buyers. Last week, the average interest rate for a person of 30 years, sets bonds was 6.7%, representing an increase of 5.57% a year ago. This means that someone who has lots of borrowed $ 230000 purchase price of the house would have median monthly payments amounting to $ 1486, instead of $ 1316 a year ago.
Rising interest rates are even more dangerous for homeowners with adjustable rate mortgages. In San Diego, where the median price of $ 607000 house, for example, 74% of home buyers during the past year, it adopted a loan, with which they pay only the interest or even less, depending Loan performance.
Tuesday, PMI Mortgage Insurance released it’s latest Market Risk Index, which showed that 13 major metropolitan areas have a chance of 50% or more to see lower prices in the next two years.
CHART: Risk of declining prices at the head of 50 markets
“We see a slowdown in the market,” said Mark Milner., Chief Risk Officer, PMI Mortgage Insurance. “Affordability remains a challenge for the buyer, but the risk elements are that the economy remains strong and strong labour market. ”
One of three Americans are worried that the increase in monthly payments - mainly because of taxes and energy costs - it is to force the sale of its homeland and buy cheaper, according to a poll released Tuesday by the NAR. Thanks to a 2 to 1 margin, Americans say that the high monthly payments instead of large advances are an obstacle No. 1 to buy a house. And half of the tenants interviewed said they fear the cost of housing is so prohibitive that never able to buy a house.
In May, the median price of a single family home increased by $ 229700 to 6.4% a year ago. The median is gone apartment for $ 229,300 at 1.9%.
While home sales are still high standards of history, the sale of existing homes was 1.2% in May from April. The seasonally adjusted sales pace of 6.67 million units was 6.6% from May last year.
In addition to the tenants not afford the higher prices are also far vernarbend investors. The number of listed companies for sale grundstück in Las Vegas, for example, is 67% last year.
The lack of investors, “The whole history of the (Las Vegas) market,” said Dennis Smith, President of Home Builders Research, a real estate data. “It is the same way, California and Phoenix. And it is not too much change, you shake investors, who a year to one year and a half until we begin to see a true reflection Where we are. ”
Of course not all markets across the country to see the same trend in the cold at home turnover. Texas, North Carolina, New Mexico, for example, are two victories in the house of turnover.
And the housing market newly constructed outside because the owners are very attractive, with a television buyer, kitchen upgrades and other types of incentives. new-home sales rose in May for the third consecutive month, the Commerce Department said Monday.
But the results were in flagrant contradiction with the degrees of confidence to the house owners, measured in terms of housing market index. The index for June, released last week, fell the lowest level since April 1995.
And it is easy to see why. Monday, LENNAR was the fifth home Builder in recent weeks, investors warn low entries and more than refusal.